Monday, June 25, 2012

Brief Cool Down, More Heat Coming

Good Afternoon! Noon temps stand in the low 80s. I originally was going with a high of 82° for this afternoon but it looks like I may need to bump that up to 84°-85°. Our low this morning was 73°. I believe this will be an unofficial low for today. We'll probably get underneath this temp before midnight tonight. Temps are expected to fall to the mid 50s for your Tuesday Morning Lows as we tap into some Canadian Air. The winds will come from the NE. This will leave highs tomorrow for some in the upper 70s, and other to top the 80s. First few days this week will be below normal.
Image Below Available Courtesy of Accuweather

As high pressure builds in this makes way for clear skies for today, tonight, and tomorrow. Also expect plenty of sunshine this afternoon and tomorrow. Rain chances look slim to none this week as the blocking pattern takes hold. Could be a weak disturbance for Friday that could spark up a few afternoon storms. The big story this week will be the heat dome headed our way. We could be pushing 100° temps, particularly for Thursday and upper 90s for Friday as well. Looking at mid to low 90s for the weekend and most of next week. The next 6-10 days are expected to be above normal.
Image Below Available Courtesy of Accuweather

Last Weeks Observations for June 17th-23th

SUN MON TUES WED THURS FRI SAT
High Temp88929393938789
Low Temp73727070696561
PrecipNONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Peak Wind Gust (MPH)23312825392915

Temperature Track
Yesterday we warmed back up to the 90s once again hitting a high of 92. This refreshing cool down in store for us today and tomorrow will be brief. As you can see we could be approaching record high temps for Thursday and Friday. 66 for Monday is where I expect temps to be at right before midnight tonight. As mentioned earlier I expect our low temperature for Monday to be recorded at the end of the day rather than this mornings low of 74. The low temperatures for the rest of the week should be morning lows. (Example: 54 is for the Morning low on Tuesday, and so on). The avg low this week is 65° while the avg high is 85°.


Drought Analysis

Yesterday marked the 20th consecutive day without measurable rainfall at Indianapolis International Airport. Indy hasn't recorded any measurable rainfall since June 4th and this has been quite a concern this month. With lack of rain, lawns are browning out and water levels in lakes, rivers, and/or seas are declining. If this dry pattern continues, and the heat continues to sizzle many cities in the state will be under water restrictions. Be Conservative and don't water your lawn during the day when the water will evaporate. Instead water before sunrise or after sunset. Watch your shower usage time. With the increased risk for fires, firefighters will need an ample amount of water supply. For tips on Water Conservation click HERE.

Persistent Dryness+Hot Temps+Low Relative Humidity+Moderate Winds=Wildfires

I've seen many reports of fires this month to due to improperly disposed cigarettes butts. Do NOT throw them out your vehicles window or flick them on the ground. The smallest spark can really get a fire going. In fact, friction from a blown tire on a semi that made contact with the grass sparked up three large brush fires along a stretch of about two or three miles on Interstate 69 back on June 8th near the Madison/Hamilton County line. Here's the story from FOX 59 Indianapolis, IN.


Burn Ban
As dry conditions continue to persist, many more counties are being shaded in red or orange to the burn ban map. Last Monday Morning, I looked at it and we were at 20. Wednesday it was up to 34. Before the weekend up to 48. Yesterday it was at 54. And now this early Monday Afternoon the number is up to 56 counties. There are 92 counties in the state so this equates to 61% of the state being under a burn ban. This means campfires, bonfires, burning leaves or trash, and the use of fireworks are all prohibited. With the upcoming holiday I will note that by state law, fireworks cannot be banned from usuage during certain times between June 29th-July 9th. For more details visit my blog July 4th Fireworks Safety Tips.


June 2012
Temperatures are finishing slightly above but near normal this month. The month starting 10° below normal. But a stretch of hot days in the middle of the month ironed the temperatures out. As of yesterday, we've recorded 18 consecutive days with temps 80° and above. In the middle of that, we recorded 4 consecutive days with temps 90° and above. So far this month we've recorded one day with a high temp in the 60s (June 1st), 4 in the 70s, 11 in 80s, and 8 days in the 90s. This makes the average high 85°. For low temps, we've recorded one morning in the 40s (June 2nd), 9 days in the 50s, 9 in the 60s, and 5 in the 70s. This make the average low 62°, which puts the average monthly temp at 73°.
As for precipitation, we are well below were we should be. Right now running nearly 3 1/2 inches below normal for the month and approaching 6" below normal for the year in Indianapolis. We are on our way to very well finishing as not only the driest June on Record but driest month EVER in Indianapolis Weather History since record keeping began in 1870. The Driest June on Record was set back in 1988 with 0.36". March 1910 holds the driest month ever with 0.07". Right now, we stand at 0.05".

Rainfall Deficit Around the State
Location Year to Date Precipitation (through June 24) Departure from Average
Indianapolis 15.11 -  5.68
Lafayette 11.06 -  6.24
Muncie 12.94 -  6.36
Terre Haute 12.53 -  9.50
Bloomington 11.95 -11.78
Shelbyville 13.10 -  8.28
Indy - Eagle Creek 13.15 -  7.17
This Week in Indiana History
June 25, 1978-Gusty Thunderstorms produce 100 MPH Winds in Indianapolis. The Record Wind Gust in Indiana History is 111 coming in from the Northwest on June 29, 1929.
June 28, 1874-Record set for Warmest Low Temperature in Indianapolis at 85°.


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has declared this week (June 24th-30th) as Lightning Safety Awareness Week nationwide. The purpose is to inform the dangers of lightning and how you can keep your family and yourself safe from risking injury or death. On average, 54 people in the U.S. are killed by lightning and so far there have been 4 fatalities in 2012. Two in Louisiana, One in Alabama, and the other in Florida. I've provided a few links below for more information on this topic.
1.Lightning Safety Home Page
2.2012 Lightning Fatalities
3.Lightning Fatalities in Previous Years
4.Indianapolis, IN Lighting Safety Awareness Week
5.List of Other Informative Links from NOAA




Tropical Storm Debby
Information Below From NOAA
As of 7:00 AM CDT Tropical Storm Debby was located about 90 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida, and has remained nearly stationary over the past several hours. Little movement is expected during the next couple of days, though the forecast at this time remains uncertain. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next day or two.
6-10 Day, 8-14 Day, & July Temperature/Precipitation Outlooks


10 Day Detailed Outlook

Today-Sunny. Not as Warm. High 82.
Tonight-Clear. Cooler & Refreshing. Low 56.

Tuesday-Sunny & Pleasant. High 80.
Tuesday PM-Clear Skies. Cool. Low 58.

Wednesday-Sunny. Much Warmer. High 90.
Wednesday PM-Mostly Clear. Warm. Low 71.

Thursday-Sunny & Hot. High 99. RECORD HIGH 101° (1934)
Thursday PM-Mostly Clear. Low 75.

Friday-Sunny & Hot. Chance of PM T'Storms. High 97.RECORD HIGH 101° (1934)
Friday PM-Partly Cloudy. Chance of T'Storms. Low 74.

Saturday-Hot, Sunny. High 93.
Saturday PM-Partly Cloudy. Low 70.

July 1st
Sunday-Hot, Sunny. Chance of T'Storms. High 95.RECORD HIGH 97° (1970)
Sunday PM-Partly Cloudy. Chance of T'Storms. Low 72.

Monday-Hot, Sunny. High 92.
Monday PM-Partly to Mostly Clear Skies. Low 71.

Tuesday-Hot, Sunny. High 92.
Tuesday PM-Clear. Low 72.

4th of July
Wednesday-Hot, Sunny. High 91.
Wednesday PM-Clear Skies. Low 71.

June 2012 Temperature Data
Actual Avg High----84.6°. This is 2.6°above the normal avg high of 82° for June.
Actual Avg Low-----61.7°. This is near the normal monthly avg low of 62° for June.
Actual Avg Temp---73.1°. This is 1.1° above the normal monthly avg temp of 72° for June.

Precipitation Data
Precip Since JUN 24---NONE. This is 3.34" below the normal 3.39" for June 1-24th.
Precip Since JUN 1----0.05". This is 4.20" below the monthly normal 4.25" for June.
Precip Since MAR 1----10.25". This is 5.56" below the normal 15.81" for Mar 1-Jun 24.
Precip Since JAN 1----15.11". This is 5.68" below the normal 20.79" for Jan 1-Jun 24.

Snowfall Data
Snowfall Since JUN 1-----NONE
Snowfall Since MAR 1-----0.7"
Snowfall Since JAN 1------7.5"
Snowfall Since NOV 1-----9.8"

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