Thursday, July 11, 2013

Pleasant Weather Has Arrived

Good Evening! And yes...I mean that it is a good evening. It was a beautiful day across Central Indiana. Plenty of sunshine with a few fair weather cumulus clouds in the sky. We kicked up a northeastern breeze with winds 8-15 mph w/ gusts up 20 mph. Dew Points Temps finally fell down into the mid 50s. We had 35 consecutive hours with dew points 70+. Dew Points are a measure of moisture in the atmosphere and the lower the number then the more comfortable it will feel outside. The farther it gets away from the temperature outside then the more drier the air is so you won't feel heavy, sticky, muggy, or whatever name you may have for it.

Today's high temperature topped out at 80° after a morning low of 64. The normal high and low is 85 & 66, respectively. The average temperature (a combination of the high and low) is 72°. This is 4° below the normal 76. Today marked the 8th time this month, 18th time this season (since June 1st), and 97th time this year for a day to finish with below normal temps.

High Pressure will dominate our forecast for a few days. This will (1) continue to keep away the rain (2) allow for more sunshine and (3) bring us our first potential 100% dry weekend since mid April. This to come after 11 consecutive weekends where one or both days recorded a trace or more of precipitation.


Every day over the next few days will slowly become warmer than the previous day. The pattern may once again turn stormy depending on the setup for another upper level low. This could put our chances at getting to 90 once again in jeopardy, however, I did go ahead and forecast that for Wednesday next week. This is subject to change.
Temperatures will go from the low 80s on Friday to mid 80s Saturday & Sunday. Temperatures next week looks to be in the mid to upper 80s, really dependent daily on the weather setup. One key thing to remember the most favorable time for storms are in the afternoon where peak heating occurs. This the time where the air will be the most unstable. For unorganized storms, these do NOT cover a large area therefore will NOT SPC guidelines for a risk of severe storms to be issued. A slight, moderate, or high risk category covers organized storms such as supercells, squall lines, or multicellular thunderstorm complexes. They do NOT cover isolated, spotty, or scattered storms.

The American GFS model brings in less than 1" of rain for the state over the next 7 days.



As you may know a strong batch of storms swept pass the state early Wednesday afternoon. It appears it spawned up a EF1 tornado near Peru, Indiana at around 1:28pm. Wind speeds was estimated at 95 miles per hour and traveled approximately 3.5 miles. Here's the path from NWS Northern Indiana.



***8 DAY OUTLOOK***


 SUNRISE: 6:28AM | SUNSET: 9:14PM | DAYS UNTIL AUTUMNAL (FALL) EQUINOX: 71
 DOG DAYS OF SUMMER (TYPICALLY HOTTEST PERIOD OF THE YEAR) RUNS FROM JULY 3rd TO AUGUST 11th
JULY 12 JULY 13 JULY 14 JULY 15 JULY 16 JULY 17 JULY 18 JULY 19
FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY
SUNNY
NICE
MOSTLY
SUNNY
PARTLY
SUNNY
PARTLY
SUNNY
SCT'D
T'STORM?
SCT'D
T'STORM?
SCT'D
T'STORM?
SCT'D
T'STORM?
DRY WARMER WARMER PM
STORMS?
SOME
DRY HRS
SOME
DRY HRS
SOME
DRY HRS
SOME
DRY HRS
81 83 86 87 88 90 89 87
62 66 69 71 73 74 73 70


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