Sunday, June 10, 2012

Becoming Wet then Drying Out

Good Afternoon! I hope you are enjoying the sunshine because clouds are on the increase and the length of dry hours will begin to decrease over the next 36-42 hours. As moisture and instability builds in we'll see shower activity begin to kick off as soon as midnight tonight. Some of this is from the 13+" they received down in Florida yesterday but the way this is setting up it looks the bulk of any precip North of the state (Florida) will set up to the East of Indiana and Ohio. There are actually receiving more rain today down in the Florida Panhandle..again. I think some rain will mostly fall here between midnight and sunrise Monday then spotty showers throughtout the day, some hit and miss. Could see a dry hour here and there. An approaching cold front to the west will bring more showers activity to the state later monday afternoon to early tuesday morning. We are not expecting to see any severe weather here in Central indiana but we may perhaps see a few flashes of lightning and hear a few claps of thunder. Our numbers look pretty weak. Only expecting to add maybe a half an inch (or even less) by the time this ends before daybreak Tuesday so really not helping the rainfall deficit around the state at all but we'll gladly take what we receive. I will note though its possible higher totals of up to inch but probably less than two inches can occur if conditions are right underneath a thunderstorm but really looking like things will not add up to much at all.
We'll start the week off with high temps in the low 80s and morning lows in the upper 50s, low 60s. As the week progresses we'll dry out and highs will warm to mid to upper 80s with morning lows in the low to mid 60s. I believe we will stay dry next weekend as well. Late next Sunday into Monday we'll probably see our next shower chance. In fact looking at GFS models, we could be looking at a wet work week next week. 2 week rainfall total (depicted in the image below) shows Indiana could receive up to 3". I will monitor this closely, but I got to tell you I think its coming off pretty heavy. I don't think these we'll be washouts here. Usually the numbers tend to decrease as we draw closer as well, especially lately these days.
Temps look fairly seasonal for the first half of next week but its a mix of normal to above normal temps really for the rest of the month. Not seeing any significant changes in high temps staying within atleast 6° above or below 85, this meanings temps can range anywhere from as low of a high as 79° to as high as a high of 91 at this point for the next 2 weeks.



Last Weeks Observations for June 3rd-9th
SUN MON TUES WED THURS FRI SAT
High Temp80777477838686
Low Temp51635452535660
PrecipTRACE0.02"NONENONENONENONENONE
Peak Wind Gust (MPH)25182824151823

This Week in Indiana Weather History
On June 12, the remnants of Tropical Storm Arlene spawned two tornadoes. An F1 tornado struck Jennings County and an F0 tornado South of Indianapolis. This brung 4.44" of rain to Evansville and 3.04" of rain at Indianapolis International Airport. This made up more than 75% of the months average monthly rainfall amount for June.
On June 14, 1880 a destructive storm struck Clinton County. The town was named Cyclone due to this weather event. The cyclone took a path of over 40 miles which of course also did damage to other adjoining counties. 18 people were killed in Central Indiana and 5 violent twisters were documented. Also, the German Luthern Church in Cicero was blown down, carring its bell 50 ft away.

Special Notes
For those that read my weather blogs I appreciate you giving me some of your time. I typically post blogs on Sundays for the work week then mid week on Wednesday updating any changes for the remainder of the week. I also try to post a weekend weather blog on Fridays as well, this also serves as a recap for the week. I usually follow the same format in every blog as well, usually a past, present, and future format or a present, past, future format. Starting this week on my Sunday blogs I've added a weather history section (above) and also added an observation section (above) that shows highs, lows, precip, snowfall (in winter months), and also peak wind gusts recorded for the past week. The location of this section will vary depending on how I compose my sundays blog but may typically be located in the beginning of the blog. I always end the 3 scheduled blogs with a 10 day outlook and updated temperature, precipitation, and snowall data. I may post more blogs during the week during extreme/severe weather events or for special weather stories.


10 Day Detailed Outlook

Today-Hot, Sunny & Humid. Becoming Cloudy Late Afternoon. High 87.
Tonight-Mostly Cloudy. Showers Develop after Midnight. Low 68.

Monday-Scattered Thunderstorms. Not as Warm. High 81.
Monday PM-Cloudy. Thunderstorms ending after midnight. Low 67.

Tuesday-Clouds Clear for Afternoon Sunshine. High 81.
Tuesday PM-Clear Skies. Low 59.

Wednesday-Sunny. High 79.
Wednesday PM-Mostly Clear. Low 58.

Thursday-Sunny. Warmer. High 83.
Thursday PM-Clear Skies. Low 63.

Friday-Sunny & Hot. High 87.
Friday PM-Clear Skies. Low 65.

Saturday-Hot, Sunny, & Humid. High 88.
Saturday PM-Partly Cloudy. Low 67.

Sunday-Partly to Mostly Cloudy. Chance of Rain. High 85.
Sunday PM-Mostly Cloudy. Chance of Showers/T'Storms. Low 64.

Monday-Mostly Cloudy. Chance of Showers/T'Storms. High 84.
Monday PM-Mostly Cloudy. Chance of Showers/T'Sttorms. Low 65.

Tuesday-Mixed Sun & Clouds. Chance of Showers/T'Storms. High 85.
Tuesday PM-Partly Cloudy. Chance of Showers/T'Storms. Low 67.

June 2012 Temperature Data
Actual Avg High----77.3°. This is 4.7° below the normal monthly avg high of 82° for June.
Actual Avg Low-----54.2°. This is 7.8° below the normal monthly avg low of 62° for June.
Actual Avg Temp---65.7°. This is 6.3° below the normal monthly avg temp of 72° for June.

Precipitation Data
Precip Since JUN 1---0.05". This is 4.20" below the normal 4.25" for June.
Precip Since MAR 1---10.25". This is 3.38" below the normal 13.63" for Mar 1-Jun 9.
Precip Since JAN 1----15.11". This is 3.59" below the normal 18.70" for Jan 1-Jun 9.

Snowfall Data
Snowfall Since JUN 1-----NONE
Snowfall Since MAR 1-----0.7"
Snowfall Since JAN 1------7.5"
Snowfall Since NOV 1-----9.8"

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