Saturday, June 7, 2014

Wet Start to June in Years, More Storms Coming

The month of May is long gone and we are now through the 1st week of June. We saw our 1st 80° day of the year on May 7th (12 altogether for the month) and we saw cool air funnels mid month. Temperatures around 80° on the 13th rapidly declined to wind chill temps in the low 40s on the 14th. It felt 40°-50° colder with temperature more typical for March. We saw 7 days with measurable precipitation totaling 4.85" finishing as the 45th wettest May. For more information on last months climate summary, US NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA has a write up on it. Click HERE to be redirected to this write up.

Meteorological Spring has finished its run and it was a cool one. Here's the breakdown for the season. This is only for observations from March 1st-May 31s:
TEMPERATURES
AVG HIGH TEMPERATURE:
AVG LOW TEMPERATURE:
AVG TEMPERATURE:
DAYS WITH LOWS 32° OR BELOW:
DAYS WITH HIGHS 32° OR BELOW:
DATE OF LAST FREEZING HIGH:
DATE OF LAST SPRING FREEZE:
LOWEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED:
HIGHEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED:
NUMBER OF DAYS 70+:
1st 70 RECORDED:
NUMBER OF DAYS 80+:
1st 80 RECORDED:
NUMBER OF DAYS ABOVE NORMAL:
NUMBER OF DAYS BELOW NORMAL:
NUMBER OF DAYS NORMAL:
RECORD FOR LOWEST MAXIMUM TEMP:
  61.2° (NORMAL: 62.6°)
  39.9° (NORMAL: 42.7°)
  50.6° (NORMAL: 52.6°)
  26
  4
  March 5
  April 16
  7° on March 3rd & 4th
  85° on May 27th
  32
  April 10th
  12
  May 7th
  41
  48
  3
  High 38° on April 15th. Previous was 40° set in 1928.

PRECIPITATION
TOTAL PRECIPITATION:
NUMBER OF WET DAYS:
NUMBER OF DRY DAYS:
LONGEST DURATION OF DRY DAYS:
LONGEST DURATION OF WET DAYS:
# OF DAYS WITH ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS:
# OF DAYS WITH 1" OR MORE RAIN:
MOST WETTEST CALENDAR DAY:
  12.64"
  39
  53
  9 Days (MAR 3-11)
  7 Days (APR 27-May 3 & May 11-17)
  14
  4
  1.87" (May 21)

SNOWFALL
TOTAL SNOWFALL:
DAYS WITH ONLY A TRACE OF SNOW:
DAYS WITH MEASURABLE SNOW
MOST SNOWIEST DAY:
DATE OF LAST SPRING SNOW:
  3.4"
  4
  5
  2.4" (MAR 2)
  APR 15 (0.2")


Below is a table of the monthly averages and rankings for temperatures, precipitation, and snowfall for the year and also for the winter and spring season. This table will continue to be updated on a month by month basis til the end of the year and will be posted in future weather blogs.

MONTH AVG
MONTHLY
TEMP
TEMP
DEPARTURE
FROM
NORMAL
MONTHLY
TEMP
RANKING
TOTAL
MONTHLY
PRECIP
PRECIP
DEPARTURE
FROM
NORMAL
MONTHLY
PRECIP
RANKING
TOTAL
MONTHLY
SNOWFALL
SNOWFALL
DEPARTURE
FROM
NORMAL
MONTHLY
SNOWFALL
RANKING
DECEMBER 30° -1.8° 46th
Warmest
4.44" +1.27" 26th
Wettest
8.8" +1.9" 24th
snowiest
JANUARY 20.1° -8° 11th
Coldest
2.34" -0.32" 68th
Driest
26.9" +18.3" 2nd
Snowiest
FEBRUARY 22.3° -9.8° 12th
Coolest
2.45" +0.13" 66th
Wettest
16.5" +10" 9th
snowiest
WINTER '13-'14
(DEC-FEB)
24.2° -6.3° 8th
Coldest
9.24" +1.09" 50th
Wettest
52.2" +30.2" 1st
Snowiest
MARCH 35.7° -6.5° 20th
Coolest
2.38" -1.18" 40th
Driest
3.1" +0.6" 46th
Snowiest
APRIL 53° 0.0° 59th
Warmest
5.39" +1.58" 40th
Driest
0.3" +0.1" 34th
Snowiest
MAY 63.1° +0.4° 71st
Warmest
4.87" -0.18" 45th
Wettest
0.00" 0.00" N/A
SPRING
(MAR-MAY)
50.6° -2° 41st
Coolest
12.64" +0.22" 53rd
Wettest
3.4" +0.06" 53rd
Snowiest
JAN-MAY
2014 ANNUAL
AVERAGES
38.8° -4.8° N/A 17.43" +0.03" N/A 46.8" +28.9" N/A


For more information on the Winter Climate summary click HERE. For more information on the Spring Climate summary click HERE.



SLIGHT PULLBACK IN HUMIDITY ENDING, STORMS RETURNING
From May 25th to June 4th, we saw 11 days with above normal temperatures. This was one of the largest stretches of above normal temperatures since the 12 days we saw back on September 24th-October 5th. The recent streak ended on June 5th when a cold front passed and a Canadian High moved into the area. Dew Point temperatures dropped 15-20° making for a refreshing Thursday afternoon. The high temperature only made it to 75° after a morning low temperature of 56°. The average temperature for the day was 66° making it the coolest afternoon in 12 days!
A disturbance brought 1.02" of rain on June 2nd with several batches of storms on the 4th totaling 1.43". This brought a 3 day total to 2.46" making it one of the wettest opens to a June in 64 years. In 1950, we saw 2.89" during the 1st 4 days of the month. Only 2 other years since 1950 saw more than 2" of precipitation for the period. 1st was 2.11" in 1973 and the 2nd was 2.44" in 2008. There was nearly 10 occurrences in between where precipitation was greater than 1" but less than 2" for the period as well.
Dew Points are expected to slowly rise from the low 50s we saw on Thursday and Friday to upper 50s or lower 60s over the weekend. We typically outline "60" as the comfort line so once it goes above it then the outdoors will get more and more uncomfortable. We will see dew points above "60" for much of next week.
With the rise of humidity (and dew point temps) comes the increasing chances for storms. We'll see numerous chances for them over the next week. Saturday will start off dry and sunny but clouds will increase the deeper we get into the afternoon as a surface low approaches in from the West. We'll be under a south wind pushing temperatures into the lower 80s. The normal high and low for Saturday is 80 and 60, respectively. Sunrise is at 6:17am and sunset is at 9:11pm.

The approaching storm will impact the city Saturday night, anytime after 8pm and depart the state on Sunday morning. Here is simulated radar snapshots at 8pm Saturday Night (left), 1am Sunday (center), and 8am Sunday Morning (right) from 00z NAM model.



Models are all over the place for precipitation amounts. Will be dependent on who get underneath a strong downpour from a t'storm. 1" totals cannot be ruled out! Its possible though precipitation will not be evenly distributed across the state.


Here's the 10 Day Forecast from last nights 00z European Model run.

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