Image 1 on the left is the drought map released on October 4th. Image 2 on the right is the most recent drought map released on October 11th. Any rainfall recorded this week and over the weekend ending early Tuesday Morning will be rolled into Next weeks drought map when its released on October 18th at 8:30AM.
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| This Week |
Last Week |
Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOTHING | 6.22% | 0.17% | -6.05% |
| Abnormally Dry |
93.78% | 99.83% | -6.05% |
| Moderate Drought |
40.05% | 77.14% | -37.09% |
| Severe Drought |
0.00% | 14.67% | -14.67% |
Here's a look at the updated Indiana rainfall deficit chart:
| Location | Year to Date Precipitation (through Oct. 12) |
Departure from Average | Precip since Sept 1 | Departure from Average | Precip since Oct 1 | Departure from Average |
| Indianapolis | 31.98 | - 1.72 | 9.49 | +5.17 | 1.76 | +0.51 |
| Evansville | 26.71 | - 8.48 | 8.74 | +4.87 | 1.14 | -0.08 |
| Lafayette | 22.51 | - 6.87 | 5.10 | +1.27 | 1.17 | 0.00 |
| Terre Haute | 22.79 | -13.27 | 5.25 | +0.47 | 1.06 | -0.30 |
| Muncie | 26.51 | - 5.56 | 7.59 | +3.43 | 1.95 | +0.75 |
| Bloomington | 26.12 | -11.78 | 9.82 | +5.11 | 2.44 | +1.08 |
| Shelbyville | 23.91 | -10.81 | 7.19 | +2.75 | 1.24 | -0.03 |
| Ft. Wayne | 23.50 | - 7.28 | 4.64 | +0.70 | 1.03 | -0.11 |
| South Bend | 27.28 | - 2.85 | 2.70 | -2.16 | 0.67 | -0.66 |
| Indy - Eagle Creek | 31.21 | - 0.93 | 9.08 | +5.59 | 1.95 | +0.71 |
Here's the breakdown for the years monthly rainfall in Indy.
| Month | Monthly Precip | Monthly Deficit | Precip Since JAN 1 | Yearly Deficit |
| JAN | 3.48" | +0.82" | 3.48" | +0.82" |
| FEB | 1.38" | -0.94" | 4.86" | -0.12" |
| MAR | 4.14" | +0.58" | 9.00" | +0.46" |
| APR | 3.36" | -0.45" | 12.36" | +0.01" |
| MAY | 2.70" | -2.35" | 15.06" | -2.34" |
| JUN | 0.09" | -4.16" | 15.15" | -6.50" |
| JUL | 0.83" | -3.72" | 15.98" | -10.22" |
| AUG | 6.51" | +3.38" | 22.49" | -6.84" |
| SEPT | 7.73" | +4.61" | 30.22" | -2.23" |
| OCT 1-12 | 1.76" | +0.51" | 31.98" | -1.72" |
METEOROLOGICAL FAL (SEPT-OCT-NOV)
We are at the midway point of the season and so far its been a cool one. We had a wet September picking up 7.73". Part of that is thanks to a 3 day total of 1.92" we picked up from what was left of Hurricane Isaac and a hefty 2.71" on the 7th, which was a record rainfall for the date. This beat previous record for the date of 1.19".
We topped 80s eight times last month with the highest being 88° on Sept. 4th. We had a string of 12 consecutive days with temperatures below normal from Sept 14-25. During this time, we recorded our 1st 60° high and 40° low on the 18th. On the 23th, we had our coldest day of the month. We recorded a high of 63 and our first low in the 30s at 39°.
For highs, we had 8 days in the 80s, 14 days in the 70s, and 8 consective days in the 60s (Sept. 18-25). For lows, we had 2 mornings in the 30s, 5 in the 40s, 14 in the 50s, 5 in the 60s, and a mild 4 mornings in the 70s for the 1st 4 days of the month.
We finished September with a avg high of 74.3° and avg low of 56.1°. This put the avg temperature at 65.2°. This was nearly 5° below normal. This marked the 3rd time a month out the past 22 months finished below normal.
So far, this month we picked up 1.76" of rainfall within the first 5 days of the month. Only the 4th time in the past 17 years, has October opened wet. Typically, if you don't know by now, this month is generally ranked as the 4th most sunniest month of the year behind August (#1), September (#2), and July (#3).
Its been a cold October so far, with only 2 days with highs in the 70s, 5 days in the 60s, and 4 days in the 50s. The warmest day was the 4th when temps reached 77°, warmest since September 16th (78°). The coldest afternoon on October 7th (51°) was 3° from tying the lowest high temperature of 48° set back in 1987. We had our first freeze this month as well on October 8th. The thermometer dipped down to 31°. The coldest since April 11th when the thermometer read 29°. So far this month we've had 6 consecutive mornings in the 30s (Oct 6-11), 2 mornings in the 40s, and 4 consecutive mornings in the 50s for the first 4 days of the month. Here's the observations this month.
High/Low/Rainfall
Oct 1--64/50/0.25"<------4th wettest opens to October in the past 17 years
Oct 2--61/53/0.48"
Oct 3--70/56/Trace
Oct 4--77/54/None<-------Warmest Day of the Month So Far. Warmest since Sept. 16th
Oct 5--63/41/1.03"<-----Wettest Day of the Month So Far
Oct 6--53/35/None<-------First day of the season with a high temperature in the 50s.
Oct 7--51/36/None<-------Coolest Afternoon High of the month. 3° warmer than 1987 record for minimum high temperature of 48°
Oct 8--56/31/None<-------First Freeze of the Season. Coolest Morning since April 11th (29°) and April 12 (33°)
Oct 9--63/36/None
Oct 10-54/37/Trace
Oct 11-60/33/None
Oct 12-59/43/None
The avg high sits at 60.9° and the avg low 42.1°. This puts the avg monthly temperature at 51.5°. This is nearly 7° below the normal 58.3°. Ten days this month have been below normal and 8 of those consecutively from the 5th thru the 12th.
TODAY
Showers are out in Illinois headed our way. It is expected to reach the city by 2PM.
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Temperatures will more likely fail to top the 70s today for most in the state, particularly from Central Indiana pointing North. Those in the Southern Counties of the State could possibly top the low 70s. Rainfall totals from this system amount to about a half an inch. Some parts could see up to an inch of rain.
SUNDAY
The focus is on whats happening out to the west. Tomorrow, expect showers and storms to pop up at any time of the day. I bracket the hours between noon to 10pm tomorrow evening for wet weather but the heaviest part will likely be between 3pm-7pm when the cold front pushes through.
SPC has placed parts of Indiana under a slight risk for severe thunderstorms. Damaging Straight Line Winds in excess of 45-50 MPH will be our primary concern along with some hail. Always expect plenty of lightning and thunder. Cannot rule out heavy downpours or even a threat for tornadoes but those chances are low for us at the moment.
UPCOMING........
There are some indications that we could be heading into a big cool down by next weekend. Temperatures could fail to top the 50s. Along with it could possibly come the chance for more severe weather but it is unclear at the moment and too early to tell. There is some inconsistency with the long trusted European model that wants to bring that in but GFS is telling a different story and wants to go warmer with temperatures in the 60s. Will continue to monitor and bring you the lastest in changes as they develop. This should become more clear in the coming days.
| OCT.13 | OCT.14 | OCT.15 | OCT.16 | OCT.17 | OCT.18 | OCT.19 |
| SATURDAY | SUNDAY | MONDAY | TUESDAY | WEDNESDAY | THURSDAY | FRIDAY |
OVERCAST |
SEVERE T'STORMS |
PARTLY SUNNY |
SUNNY |
MOSTLY SUNNY |
SHOWERS |
CLOUDY |
| PM STORMS | WINDY | SPOTTY SHOWERS? | CHANCE OF RAIN | |||
| WARMER | SEASONAL | WARMER | COOLER | CHILLY | ||
| 66 | 69 | 65 | 72 | 75 | 60 | 54 |
| 43 62 | 51 | 46 | 58 | 55 | 45 | 36 |
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