As of 3pm, Indianapolis/Central Indiana is under a winter weather advisory until 7AM Wednesday. Areas immediately north in places like Lafeyette, Kokomo, Frankfort, Muncie, and Anderson are all under a winter storm warning effective 7AM Tuesday to 7AM Wednesday. Its not uncommon to have heavy snow in Indiana in excess of 5" but its been a few years since that happened (last in March 2006-5.4" on the 21st) and this is putting a delay on Springs arrival. Perhaps, a little payback from last year when we had 21 days with temps 70° and above, of which 7 were in the 80s (highest 84°).
The next 48 hours will certainly have you feeling as of winter has never ended. Oh wait....it hasn't. There are 16 days remaining of Astronomical Winter. We won't wait forever. No matter what the weather continues to bring this month, the Spring season has NOT been CANCELLED! It will come soon. I talked about it in my last blog, 9 out of the past 10 months of March has seen atleast 1 70° day except 2008. This snow may not hold back the mild warmth that may be coming our way. On March 11, 2000 we received a 24 hr snowfall total of 8.1" with a high of 36°. By the 15th we were narrowing in on the 70s. There is a reason for this and thats due to a higher sun angle. March is the biggest warm up month of the year and as the days grow longer, the sun is that much stronger.
A warm front is lifting in and this will help keep the precipitation type as a cold rain or sleet. Could be some freezing rain but temperatures tonight and tomorrow are supposed to be above 32° holding nearly steady between 33°-36°. This chance will last to about 3PM. Anytime between 3PM-6PM will be the change over to ALL snow and this will hang around into the first part of Wednesday. Total Accumulations will be about 2"-6" of snowfall in Indianapolis/Central Indiana. Those South of I-70 will likely see anywhere from a dusting up to 2". Those North of Indianapolis will likely see anywhere from 5"-9" of snow.
Here's a few graphics I wanted to share. The first from BAM Chase Team on Snowfall Potential in the state. 2nd from Paul Poteet who shows Advisory/Watches/Warnings + Snowfall Potential Map.
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The storm moves out. Sunshine Returns Thursday and sticks around for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday making for a nice beautiful scenary. An added bonus with be mild temps. We looks to reach the lower to middle 50s. Sunday is the pick of the weekend with temps near the middle to possibly even upper 50s in some spots but any weekend day will do. Next storm system comes in late Sunday Night or Early Monday Morning offering up some rain chances. These storms seem to have a thing for Mondays and Tuesdays. Monday Night there could even be a thunderstorm.
We'll get a break from the cold temps over the coming weekend but that will be short lived. Winter is not done just yet. NAO/AO dips 13th-16th which could indicate cooler temperatures. Mild for the start of Spring? We will see.
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I talked about this in a previous blog. We will have cool days followed by a short period of warm, mild days, & another round of some cooler temperatures. Typical trend for the month of March. I will note though, the average high increase from 45° on the 1st to 58° on the 31st and average low increases from 28° on the 1st to 38° on the 31st.
This image on the 14th shows surface temps and winds. This will be coming from the North so yes, colder air will push back in.
| MAR. 5 | MAR. 6 | MAR. 7 | MAR. 8 | MAR. 9 | MAR. 10 | MAR. 11 | MAR. 12 |
| TUESDAY | WEDNESDAY | THURSDAY | FRIDAY | SATURDAY | SUNDAY | MONDAY | TUESDAY |
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| AM-MIX PM-SNOW |
AM-SNOW PM-CLOUDS |
MOSTLY SUNNY |
MOSTLY SUNNY |
PARTLY SUNNY |
RAIN LATE |
STORMS POSSIBLE |
SHOWERS LIKELY |
| 3"-6" | DRY | DRY | MILD | MILD | |||
| 36 | 35 | 38 | 46 | 53 | 57 | 49 | 48 |
| 25 | 25 | 26 | 33 | 36 | 40 | 39 | 35 |
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