Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Wet Open to April, Brief Warming Trend Coming

MONTH
OF
YEAR
DAYS
ABOVE
NORMAL
DAYS
NORMAL
DAYS
BELOW
NORMAL
JANUARY 8 0 23
FEBRUARY 6 0 22
MARCH 8 2 21
APRIL 2 1 5
JAN-APR 24 3 71
A FEW NUMBERS FOR THE YEAR:
  • 25 days this year has seen high temps 50+.
  • 8 days this year has seen high temps 60+.
  • 78 days this year has seen lows 32° & below.
  • 39 days this year has seen highs 32° & below.
  • 36 days this year has seen measurable precipitation totaling 10.60"
  • 16 days this year has seen only trace amounts of rain.
  • 25 days this year has seen measurable snowfall totaling 46.5"
  • 15 days this year has seen only trace amounts of snow.


Your typical spring weather pattern has arrived. Rainy days mixed with a cold-warm combo is the general rule lately. 9 out of the past 13 days has seen measurable precipitation (since March 27th) totaling 4.23". 6 out of the past 8 days this month has seen measurable precipitation totaling 3.43" and is the wettest open to a April in 57 years. In 1957, we saw 4.23" of precipitation during the 1st week. The tail end of that period brought a cold blast and some snow. We aren't expected to see any snow this week but there is a quick jab of cold air looming for us. Before so, there will be a warming trend this week. One that may push temperatures towards the 70s. Something that hasn't been achieved in 177 days (October 13th: 71°). We are overdue for our 1st 70. It typically comes mid to late March. The latest we've had to wait was back in 1984 on April 25th. The earliest 1st 70, believe it or not, was actually in January on the 11th in the year 1890.

We get a break from the rain Wednesday. Expect a 100% dry day with plenty of sunshine and temperatures making a run towards the 60s. On Thursday, most of the day will be dry but a frontal system Thursday night will bring back rain to the area when most may be calling it quits for the night. The rain will be us overnight, greeting us Friday morning. Most of Friday will be cloudy with more rain possible throughout the day especially for South Central Indiana and Southern Indiana. Temperatures are likely to be about 5-10° cooler than Thursday. As for the weekend, in terms of sky conditions, Saturday appears to be the drier day with plenty of sunshine but overnight Saturday into Sunday, rain yet again returns or atleast the chance for it is in the forecast. In terms of temperatures, models show Sunday as the warmer day of the weekend but both days will get up to atleast the upper 60s flirting with 70s again.

Next week all attention will be set to an area of low pressure coming from the Northwest and moving through the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and the Ohio Valley regions. This will not only bring more rain/storms Sunday night into Monday ending Monday evening but will be accompanied by a wind shift driving cooler air into the state. Temperatures will fall back about 40-50° in about 32 hours when the winds shift to a Northwest flow pattern. There could be some light snow showers or flurries mixed in on tail end of this system. No accumulations should be expected. Standby. More updates to come.



***10 DAY WEATHER OUTLOOK***
 TODAY'S AVG HIGH/LOW: 61/41  ||  SUNRISE/SUNSET: 7:16am/8:17pm


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