Tuesday, January 4, 2022

Quiet Weather Now, But Pattern Changes Loom Again

A shift in winds will allow temperatures to warm up an additional 10° today. We are waking up to temps in the lower 20s again and with more sunshine expected today we can expect a healthy boost towards the lower 40s this afternoon. Since we did get above 32° yesterday we have now been in a freeze for 47 consecutive hours at 5:00 AM. That streak will be snapped before the afternoon. Winds will ramp up later today as well gusting in excess of 35 mph at times and may persist into Wednesday. Clouds are expected to increase late this afternoon and may continue to loom overhead until late Thursday night, early Friday morning.

The passage of a cold front on Wednesday will drop temperatures from the upper 30s in the morning to the upper 20s in the afternoon and further slip towards the teens Thursday morning. Still eyeing the potential for snow on Thursday but further refinement will be needed in the days ahead as there is still some variances in modeling data. Some runs from the GFS and ECMWF models over the past 24 hours bring in 0.1" while others like the NAM model wants to bring in 3.6". At this distance, a forecast of less than 3" seems probable.

Friday will be a very cold day, coldest of the season thus far. Temperatures are expected to drop into the single digits for morning lows and wind chills in some spots are likely to be below zero. Decreasing cloud cover will allow for some sunshine but temperatures may only warm 10° or so from a morning low around 9° to around 20° for the afternoon high. Winds shift back to the South so this will allow temperatures to be much warmer on Saturday returning above normal for afternoon highs. Some sunshine may be present early Saturday but the deeper we get into the day, clouds will increase in coverage. Precipitation chances are still in the forecast for Sunday and drier but colder conditions are expected for Monday and Tuesday of next week.


STANDBY FOR FURTHER WEATHER UPDATES


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