The tally continues on as today marks the 10th day this month and 47th day this fall season below normal. Nearly 77% of the days this month and 64% of the days this fall season have been below normal. We look to add atleast another 2 days before we get back to a normal weather pattern. Only 27 this fall season have been normal or above normal with 3 of those occuring this month. Technically, today was the coldest day of the season so far. The high was 40, coolest high since March 5th. The low was 25, also shared with the low temperature reading recorded on November 5th. This is the lowest low we've had so far for the season.
The weekend warm up was brief, nice and sunny. I hope you enjoyed it while you could. We hit 63 on Friday, 72 on Saturday, and 67 on Sunday. 70s are hard to come by after the middle of the month as the daylight hours decrease leaving little time for temperatures to warm up. Here's a look at our last 70° day of the year for the past 10 years;
2011-November 14th (71°)
2010-November 13th (70°)
2009-November 8th (72°)
2008-November 6th (73°)
2007-October 21st (79°)
2006-November 10th (72°)
2005-November 3rd (71°)
2004-October 30th (75°)
2003-November 4th (77°)
2002-October 11th (75°)
The latest 70° day in ANY year (on record) was recorded on December 6th, 1998 when the thermometer topped 73°.
This Week
Yesterday ended the brief warm spell. We were punished with falling temperatures, rain, sleet, and snow. At 11pm on Sunday the temperature was at 62°. In 12 hours, the temperature fell to 32°. By 5pm with clearing and sunshine the temperature rose back up to nearly 40°. Temps tanked to a Tuesday Morning Low of 25°. Again, this is shared with the same low temperature reading from November 5th.
We fall back again under clear skies, and a light wind. The perfect recipe for some Wednesday Morning Frost. We only bump our temperature up a few degrees tomorrow towards the mid 40s. Today our high topped only 40°!!
The remainder of the week will be dry and each day we sloooowly bump our temperature up a little higher and higher back towards the 50s before the weekend. We'll be back to a more zonal flow which means much of the U.S. will be in for a quiet week with no storms expected.
| NOV. 14 | NOV. 15 | NOV. 16 | NOV. 17 | NOV. 18 | NOV. 19 | NOV. 20 |
| WEDNESDAY | THURSDAY | FRIDAY | SATURDAY | SUNDAY | MONDAY | TUESDAY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| FEW CLOUDS | MOSTLY SUNNY | SUNNY | SUNNY | MOSTLY SUNNY | PARTLY SUNNY | CLOUDS/SUN |
| 45 | 50 | 52 | 54 | 56 | 54 | 54 |
| 31 | 33 | 33 | 36 | 38 | 38 | 36 |
Also, something worth mentioning up in the sky is meteor showers. The leonids peak this week but don't expect a very spectacular show they'll only be going at a rate of 10 to 15 meteor showers per hour. They peak two times, which is unusual. The first on Saturday the 17th and Second on Tuesday the 20th. You'll have to look up to the sky to the East for you stargazers. I'm sure you'll get a glimpse here and there as viewing conditions are expected to be good.
UPCOMING....
The Atlantic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are two things meteorologist look at when determining what winter weather holds. When the NAO/AO is negative, then the pattern is expected to be cold and depending how things set up, storms may arise which ultimately leads us to the "S" word, SNOW! These teleconnectors begin to go negative next week.
First off, we are looking at a "Thanksgiving Storm" in the U.S. East Coast may get hit with another Nor'easter (I talked about Nor'easter in a previous blog). This doesn't look like it will be a very powerful system as temperatures are not expected to take a huge nosedive but it will effect some travel plans. Here in the Ohio Valley, I wouldn't rule out a spotty shower for Wednesday and Thursday but temperatures will be noticeably cooler for the LONG holiday weekend.
Secondly, the NAO/AO goes way negative around the 26th at the end of the month. Its impossible to tell where at the moment but it looks like someone in the Central and Eastern U.S. could get pounded with a big snowstorm. I think temperatures in Indiana could dip to highs in the upper 30s and lows in the low 20s. Somebody could record a temperature reading in the upper teens. Really just depends on if the storm pans out and if we manage to tap into some of that chilly air. I'll keep you posted on that.
Also, if you ever looking for a really good reliable weather source when it comes to storm then there is a weather team that specializes in Severe Weather. They are known as the BAM Chase Team. BAM stands for the 3 members of the team. B for Bryan Kilgore, A for Amanda Kilgore, and M for Michael Clark. They are based in Greenwood, Indiana. You can follow them on twitter @BAM_Chase, and on facebook BAM Chase LLC. You can also register on their webpage at www.bamchase.net. If you sign up before December 24th 2012, they'll will have exclusive holiday pricing available. They have some upcoming services available to registered users beginning January 1st, 2013. Right now, registration is FREE but the added services beginning the New Year comes with cheap, affordable payment plans. You can go with option 1; $5/month. (You'll follow them on a month to month basis for $0.17 per day). Or you can go with Option 2; $50/year but you get 2 months free! This calculates to $0.14/day for full access to BAMCHASE.NET!
Here's a list of services that will be provided:
*HD extreme weather live streaming with in vehicle cam also equipped with mic for live interaction during Indiana's extreme weather! The BAM chase truck covers all 4 angles of the sky in full 720P HD video quality!
*Exclusive partnership with FOX 59, we will be working with chief meteorologist Brian Wilkes and the FOX59 weather team to bring you the latest on Indiana's extreme weather 24/7 365!
*In-depth extreme weather analysis from BAMCHASE.NET's Bryan and Michael with 10+ years of central Indiana storm chasing experience!
*Short to medium range forecast's from "M" aka Michael Clark, who has been working with Brian Wilkes for nearly 2 years mastering the art of forecasting Indiana's wild weather! (Brian Wilkes trained under the great Tom Skilling!)
*Exclusive and personalized commercial and agriculture forecasting! Great for staying ahead of the weather with your company!
*Chat room access during storm chase's for first hand severe weather information from the field!
These are some things you can expect. I have provided links to both Brian Wilkes and Tom Skilling's weather bio. You may know Brian Wilkes from Fox 59 but the great Tom Skilling forecasts weather in the Chicago area. Both are great weather teachers and you'd be a fool not to think so. Just click their name above to read their weather bio. Below is a a few images of the "Beast", the BAM Chase Truck, a moving weather office on wheels. Mostly everything provided for the truck has been possible due to donations. I myself have made a donation of $50 likely used towards the funds needed for gas as they travel the roads and chase the storms. If you'd like to make a donation you can go to their webpage, scroll down to the bottom, and click the "donate" link on the right side of the page. Or I have simply provided a link here.
BAM Chase Team has a true passion for science and meteorology and their goal is to inform, prepare, and educate on Indiana's Extreme Weather as early as possible. They do a tremendous job and I have personally followed them for the past year. I myself have learned alot from them too and so can you.
Lastly, one thing I didn't talk about earlier in the blog was the snow. We had our first measurable snowfall of the season after the NWS at Indianapolis International Airport recorded 0.20" of snow. This was 2 weeks earlier than last year and 7 days before the normal first snow date, November 19th. Just so you, early snowfall arrival does not necessarily mean that we will have a snowy winter. In fact, during the month of November in 1997, we recorded 5.8" of snow. A strong el nino winter had shaped up and the season ended with a total of 10.40". Yes, this is for the ENTIRE winter season. I am predicted near normal snow with near normal temperatures. However, as I have stated in numerous blogs that there is just as much of a equal chance that we may end up with above normal temperatures and below normal snowfall. The average winter in Indianapolis usually sees a little over 2 feet of snow (26") for the entire season.
Here's a few images submitting from viewers of sleet and snow. These images come from WISH-TV 8, FOX 59, and WTHR 13!!!
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
 |
|
| >
November 2012 Temperature Data(November 1st-13th)
Actual Avg High---52.5°. This is 4.2° below the normal 56.7°.
Actutal Avg Low---32.7°. This is 4.5° below the normal 37.2°.
Actual Avg Temp---42.6°. This is 4.4° below the normal 47°.
November 2012 Precipitation Data(November 1st-13th)
Precip Since November 1-----1.07". This is -0.45" from normal (1.52").
Precip Since September 1---12.67". This is +4.91" from normal (7.76").
Precip Since January 1-----35.16". This is -1.93" from normal (37.09").
November 2012 Snowfall Data(November 1st-13th)
Snow since November 1----0.20". This is a normal month-to-date amount.
Snow since January 1-----7.50". This is -11.00" from normal (18.50")
**Last Years Total Snowfall was 9.80". This was a little over 16" below normal and went down as the 11th least snowiest winter.
No comments:
Post a Comment